Comparison of Different Count Models for Investigation of Some Environmental Factors Affecting Stillbirth in Holsteins


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Gevrekçi Y., Güneri Ö., Takma Ç., Yeşilova A.

Indian Journal of Animal Research, cilt.56, sa.9, ss.1158-1163, 2022 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 56 Sayı: 9
  • Basım Tarihi: 2022
  • Doi Numarası: 10.18805/ijar.bf-1415
  • Dergi Adı: Indian Journal of Animal Research
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, Academic Search Premier, CAB Abstracts, EMBASE, Veterinary Science Database
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.1158-1163
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Count models, Holstein, Overdispersion, Stillbirth, Zero inflation
  • Van Yüzüncü Yıl Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

© 2022 Agricultural Research Communication Centre. All rights reserved.Background: The objective of this study is comparing different count data models for stillbirth data. In modeling this type of data, Poisson regression or alternative models can be preferred. Methods: The poisson, negative binomial, zero-inflated poisson, zero-inflated negative binomial, poisson-logit hurdle and negative binomial-logit hurdle regressions were compared and used to examine the effects of the gender, parity and herd-year-season independent variables on stillbirth. Furthermore, the Log-Likelihood statistics, Akaike Information Criteria, Bayesian Information Criteria and rootogram graphs were used as comparison criteria for performance of the models. According to these criteria, Negative Binomial-Logit Hurdle Regression model was chosen as the best model. Result: The parameter estimates obtained by Negative Binomial-Logit Hurdle Regression model in relation to the effects of the gender, parity and herd-year-season independent variables on stillbirth were found to be significant (p<0.01). It was found that while stillbirth incidence was higher in males than females, it was found to decrease as the parity increased. As a result, the Negative Binomial Logit Hurdle model was found the best model for stillbirth count data with overdispersion.