INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ASSESSMENT TOOLS IN EDUCATION, cilt.10, sa.3, ss.546-562, 2023 (ESCI)
This study aims to conduct a comparative study of Bagging and
Boosting algorithms among ensemble methods and to compare the classification
performance of TreeNet and Random Forest methods using these algorithms on the
data extracted from ABİDE application in education. The main factor in choosing
them for analyses is that they are Ensemble methods combining decision trees via
Bagging and Boosting algorithms and creating a single outcome by combining the
outputs obtained from each of them. The data set consists of mathematics scores of
ABİDE (Academic Skills Monitoring and Evaluation) 2016 implementation and
various demographic variables regarding students. The study group involves 5000
students randomly recruited. On the deletion of loss data and assignment
procedures, this number decreased to 4568. The analyses showed that the TreeNet
method performed more successfully in terms of classification accuracy,
sensitivity, F1-score and AUC value based on sample size, and the Random Forest
method on specificity and accuracy. It can be alleged that the TreeNet method is
more successful in all numerical estimation error rates for each sample size by
producing lower values compared to the Random Forest method. When comparing
both analysis methods based on ABİDE data, considering all the conditions,
including sample size, cross validity and performance criteria following the
analyses, TreeNet can be said to exhibit higher classification performance than
Random Forest. Unlike a single classifier or predictive method, the classification
or prediction of multiple methods by using Boosting and Bagging algorithms is
considered important for the results obtained in education.